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#1 11-06-2010 09:14:10

Climax
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Analyse EUR/USD par FXopen

EURUSD Forecast:

The EURUSD continued its bullish correction yesterday.

On h1 chart below we can see that price is ready to test the minor trendline resistance indicating critical technical point at this phase.

A break above the trendline and consistent move above 1.2150 resistance area could trigger further recovery testing 1.2325 region.

On the bearish side, we have a rising wedge formation indicating potential bearish view especially if the formation violated to the downside testing 1.2000 and the lower line of the bullish channel.

Note that we still need a violation to the bullish channel to end this upside correction phase.

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#2 23-06-2010 08:16:08

Climax
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Re: Analyse EUR/USD par FXopen

EURUSD Daily Forecast: June 23

The bias remains bearish in nearest term but need consistent move below 1.2240 to continue the bearish pressure testing 1.2150 and the lower line of the major bullish channel (blue channel). Note that as long as price move inside the major bullish channel the upside correction scenario remains intact. So we still have conflicting bias between nearest and medium term. Price has been moving in a minor bearish channel (white channel) since failed to stay consistently above 1.2450 resistance area on Monday. Violation to that minor bearish channel and movement above 1.2300 â?" 1.2350 area could lead us into neutral area in nearest term.

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#3 24-06-2010 09:18:22

Climax
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Re: Analyse EUR/USD par FXopen

EURUSD Daily Forecast: June 24

The EURUSD attempted to push lower yesterday, bottomed at 1.2209 but closed higher at 1.2309. The bias is bullish in nearest term especially if price able to break above  the descending triangle to the upside, re-testing 1.2450 region. On the other hand, another movement below the triangle and 1.2240 could trigger further bearish pressure testing 1.2150 and the lower line of the bullish channel. We are still in upside correction phase targeting the major trendline resistance (red) area. A break above the trendline resistance confirms the bullish reversal scenario indicated first by the breakout above the falling wedge formation I showed you on my last weekly summary on Saturday. Only a violation to the bullish channel could be a serious threat to the bullish correction/reversal scenario.

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#4 28-06-2010 09:52:51

Climax
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Re: Analyse EUR/USD par FXopen

EURUSD Daily Forecast: June 28

EURUSD Forecast:
The EURUSD was able to maintain its bullish bias last week. We are now in a critical technical point, where a consistent move above 1.2465 resistance could be seen as bearish failure and a beginning of a medium bullish outlook targeting 1.2645 and 1.3120 region. Immediate support at 1.2240/80 region and the trendline support area, as you can see on my h1 chart below. Break below the trendline support should keep the major bearish scenario intact at least testing 1.2150 area.

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#5 05-07-2010 09:12:54

Climax
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Re: Analyse EUR/USD par FXopen

EURUSD Daily Forecast: July 05

EURUSD Forecast:
The EURUSD was indecisive on Friday. The bias is neutral in nearest term but overall we are still in bullish correction phase with potential reversal in medium term point of view. Nearest bullish target is seen around 1.2670 region before testing 1.2900 area. Immediate support at 1.2465/50 region. Break below that area could wane the bullish bias testing 1.2380/50 region but only a movement below 1.2150 could be seen as the end of bullish correction.

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#6 12-07-2010 07:38:18

Climax
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Re: Analyse EUR/USD par FXopen

EURUSD Daily Forecast: July 12

The EURUSD break below the rising wedge formation earlier today in Asian session as you can see on h1 chart below. This fact could trigger further downside pressure testing 1.2550 and 1.2465/80 region. However note that we are still in upside correction phase. Immediate resistance at 1.2650 region. Consistent move above that area could diminish the bearish bias, lead us into neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.2750 area and keep the upside correction scenario remains strong.

http://img143.imageshack.us/img143/834/imageproxyb.jpg

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#7 14-07-2010 08:10:53

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Re: Analyse EUR/USD par FXopen

EURUSD Daily Forecast: July 14

The EURUSD had a significant bullish momentum yesterday after bad US trade balance number, topped at 1.2737 and closed at 1.2722. The rising wedge formation has failed indicating potential technical bullishness targeting 1.2850 â?" 1.2900 area. Immediate support at 1.2650 (former resistance).  Break below that area would lead us into neutral zone. Although technical study is bullish,  I think this bullish run is tricky and fragile from fundamental point of view since yesterday we had bad Euro zone ZEW economic sentiment number, keep the Euro zone  in negative territory.

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#8 22-07-2010 07:35:37

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Re: Analyse EUR/USD par FXopen

EURUSD Daily Forecast: July 22

The EURUSD had a significant bearish momentum, slipped below the minor trendline support (red) as you can see on my h4 chart below indicating potential bearish view in nearest term testing 1.2670 â?" 1.2600 region. However note that overall we are still in upside correction phase and only a movement below the major bullish channel and 1.2465 support area could be considered as potential bullish failure. I will keep stand aside for now. Immediate resistance at 1.2800. Consistent move above that area could trigger further upside pressure testing 1.2880 â?" 1.2900 area.

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#9 27-07-2010 08:01:10

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Re: Analyse EUR/USD par FXopen

EURUSD Daily Forecast: July 27

The EURUSD touched 1.3000 area yesterday but still unable to move consistently above that psychological/key level so far. On h4 chart below we can see that we may have a triple top formation around 1.3000. Consistent move above 1.3000 could trigger further bullish pressure testing 1.3120 even higher. On the other hand, break below 1.2735 confirms the triple top scenario and could be a serious threat to the current bullish outlook. Immediate support at 1.2950 (23.6% Fibo retracement of 1.2793 â?" 1.3005). Break below that area could trigger further bearish pullback testing 1.2875 (61.5% Fibo retracement of 1.2793 â?" 1.3005).

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#10 29-07-2010 07:57:33

Climax
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Re: Analyse EUR/USD par FXopen

EURUSD Daily Forecast: July 29

The EURUSD made another indecisive movement yesterday, formed another Doji on daily chart. Price still unable to consistently move above 1.3000 and we know that it is a very strong resistance, which could produce bullish exhaustion and downside consolidation unless price able to break above 1.3045 area, targeting 1.3120 before testing 1.3270 â?" 1.3340 region. The bias remains neutral in nearest term but overall we are still in bullish phase. Immediate support at 1.2900 â?" 1.2880 area. Break below that area could trigger further bearish momentum testing 1.2735 key support area.

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